Local elections have changed very little in the Westminster equilibrium

Those who expected a step forward of Labor and a collapse of conservatives in the local elections of May 3 remained strongly disappointed. The feuds that divide the Tories on the Brexit and the recent scandals on the Commonwealth immigrants who have seen for a moment stripped of their citizenship rights have not affected the electoral fate of the ruling party. Also because the continuous ambiguity of Corbyn on Brexit and the recent anti-Semitism scandals in Labor with embarrassing admissions and apologies from the leader of a party that had attracted thousands of Jews in their ranks, now offended and in an identity crisis, seem to have blocked the triumphal march of the British paleo-left, leaving a glimpse of the possibility that it is exhausting its propulsive drive. So the maatch between the two big parties ended with a parity of 35% each, without praise and without honors. The May party held some major constituencies like Barnet and Westminster in London, Labor defended their own and won the match for Sheffield Mayor, Dan Jarvis. Overall, the Tories lost 33 seats to 1332 and Labor won 77 at 2350 but are small variations of the seismograph. The Tories, who have given up a bit of ground, may be happy to have defended positions and above all vanquished the far right of UKIP founded by Nigel Farage and now no one’s son because of a series of scandals at the top. The Eurofobo party lost 123 seats and only maintained 3. The Tory estate immediately lent itself to exploitation of Brexiters like Boris Johnson, according to whom the good vote is due to the fact that the Tory wing he represents has made it clear that the UK’s release must be total without any concession to the EU Customs Union. In fact, the Tories recorded the best result in local elections compared to 2012, 2014 and 2016.

The Liberal Democrats have gained both in votes with 16% and in seats by taking 75 (including Richmond and Kingston in London) but their success is mainly due to the fact that they are reputed to be good directors and not so much to a surge due exclusively to a support of the Remainers, since the party is the most pro-European in the country. On the contrary, since the Europeans can vote for the local residents and that there are about 3 million of them, even if a small percentage voted for the Liberal Democrats, the results would have been much more pronounced. A sign that Europeans did not consider these elections to be important enough to send a message to Westminster and / or simply decided to throw in the towel and not fight because they are still excluded from politics.

Result: nothing important to report. British policy remains modest, the ship goes towards the Brexit by force of inertia and, less than sensational upheavals in politics or a net deterioration of the economy that could cause some to rethink the risks of an exit, are always the 60 deputies Europhobic and motivated Tories supported by half of the electorate to hold the game in their hands. The May for now has not shown any intention to address them.

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